Abstract
In 2018, the city of São Paulo, Brazil enacted a law setting ambitious goals for the city’s public bus transport CO2, particulate matter, and NOx with a deadline for reaching the target in January 2038. This encompasses a rapid technological transition of diesel-based buses towards cleaner options such as zero-emission or low emission vehicles. However, for this transition to take place, decision-makers need to be aware of the technologies combination that can bring them closer to the legislation imposed. Therefore, this paper seeks to assess the goal imposed by the law, analysing the interaction between biodiesel, electric, hybrid, biomethane, and natural gas technologies to achieve reductions in CO2, PM, and NOx.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
ODS 9—Build resilient infrastructures, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization, and foster innovation.
- 2.
ODS11—Making cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient, and sustainable.
- 3.
ODS13—Take urgent measures to combat climate change and its impacts.
References
ABEGAS. (2019). Ônibus movido a gás natural e biometano será testado em Curitiba [Online]. Available: https://www.abegas.org.br/arquivos/70934. Accessed September 2019.
Altenburg, T., Schamp, E. W., & Chaudhary, A. (2015). The emergence of electromobility: Comparing technological pathways in France, Germany, China and India. Science and Public Policy, Oxford University Press (OUP), 43(4), 464–475. https://doi.org/10.1093/scipol/scv054
ANTP. (2016). Impactos ambientais da substituição dos ônibus urbanos por veículos menos poluentes. In PÚBLICOS, A. N. D. T. (Ed.).
Automotive-Business. (2015). Frota Circulante atinge 41,5 milhões de veículos [Online]. Available: http://www.automotivebusiness.com.br/noticia/21922/frota-circulante-atinge-415-milhoes-de-veiculos. Accessed September 2019.
BIODIESELBR. (2011). Emissão de poluentes atmosféricos locais do biodiesel em comparação com o diesel mineral [Online]. Available: https://www.biodieselbr.com/efeito-estufa/gases/emissoes. Accessed September 2019.
Dallmann, T. (2019). Benefícios de tecnologias de ônibus em termos de emissões de poluentes do ar e do clima em São Paulo. In Transportation, I.-T. I. C. O. C. (Ed.), ICCT—The International Council on Clean Transportation. ICCT—The International Council on Clean Transportation.
De Carvalho, C. H. R. (2011). Emissões relativas de poluentes do transporte motorizado de passageiros nos grandes centros urbanos brasileiros. Texto para Discussão, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA).
EPA. (2019). Oil and gas extraction effluent guidelines [Online]. United States Environmental Protection Agency. Available: https://www.epa.gov/eg/oil-and-gas-extraction-effluent-guidelines. Accessed October 2019.
EPE. (2018). Balanço Energético Nacional 2018: Ano base 2017. Empresa de Pesquisa Energética.
Falco, D. G. (2017). Avaliação do desempenho ambiental do transporte coletivo urbano no estado de São Paulo: Uma abordagem de ciclo de vida do ônibus a diesel e elétrico à bateria. Universidade Estadual de Campinas—UNICAMP.
Filho, A. F. M. (2011). Avaliação do ciclo de vida de diferentes tecnologias de ônibus: Eficiência energética e emissões de poluentes em operação real. Rede C40 Cities (Grupo das Grandes Cidades líderes pelo Clima).
Fontoura, W. B., Chaves, G. D. L. D., & Ribeiro, G. M. (2019). The Brazilian urban mobility policy: The impact in São Paulo transport system using system dynamics. Transport Policy, 73, 51–61.
Forrester, J. W. (1968). Industrial dynamics—after the first decade. Management Science, 14, 398–415.
Geels, F. W. (2004). From sectoral systems of innovation to socio-technical systems. Research Policy, Elsevier BV, 33(6–7), 897–920. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2004.01.015
Geels, F. W. (2011). The multi-level perspective on sustainability transitions: Responses to seven criticisms. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, Elsevier BV, 1(1), 24–40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2011.02.002
IEA. (2018). Global EV outlook 2018: Towards cross-modal electrification. IEA.
Kemp, R., & Loorbach, D. (2003). Governance for sustainability through transition management. In Open meeting of human dimensions of global environmental change research community, Montreal, Canada (S.l.: s.n., Vol. 20).
Loorbach, D., & Rotmans, J. (2010). Transition management and strategic niche management. [S.l.: s.n.]. Dutch Research Institute for Transitions.
Markard, J., Bento, N., Kittner, N., & Nuñez-Jimenez, A. (2020). Destined for decline? Examining nuclear energy from a technological innovation systems perspective. Energy Research & Social Science, Elsevier BV, 67, 101512. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2020.101512
Markard, J., Raven, R., & Truffer, B. (2012). Sustainability transitions: An emerging field of research and its prospects. Research Policy, Elsevier BV, 41(6), 955–967. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2012.02.013
Miller, J., & Façanha, C. (2016). Cost-benefit analysis of Brazil’s heavy-duty emission standards (P-8). International Council on Clean Transportation.
MMA. (2011). 1º Inventário Nacional de Emissões Atmosféricas por Veículos Automotores Rodoviários. In Ambiente, M. D. M. (Ed.).
MMA. (2013). Inventário Nacional de Emissões Atmosféricas por Veículos Automotores Rodoviários.
NEB. (2018). National energy balance, 2018: Base year 2017.
Nilsson, M., & Nykvist, B. (2016). Governing the electric vehicle transition—Near term interventions to support a green energy economy. Applied Energy, Elsevier BV, 179, 1360–1371. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.03.056
Olsson, O., Grauers, A., & Pettersson, S. (2016). Method to analyze the cost-effectiveness of different electric bus systems. 29th World Electric Vehicle Symposium and Exhibition, EVS.
ONU. (2019). 17 Objetivos para transformar nosso mundo [Online]. Available: https://nacoesunidas.org/pos2015/agenda2030/. Accessed September 2019.
Raymundo, H., & Reis, J. G. M. (2015). Renovação da Frota de Ônibus Urbano: Redução de Consumo de Energia e de Impactos Ambientais. 5ª Academic International Workshop Advances in Cleaner Production.
Roitman, T., & Da Silva, T. B. (2018). Concorrência interenergética e intermodal no setor de transportes: possibilidades para o Brasil. Boletim de Conjuntura, 15–23.
Rotmans, J., Kemp, R., & Van Asselt, M. (2001). More evolution than revolution: Transition management in public policy. Foresight, 3(1), 15–31.
Sayyadi, R., & Awasthi, A. (2017). A system dynamics-based simulation model to evaluate regulatory policies for sustainable transportation planning. International Journal of Modelling Simulation, 37, 25–35.
SCANIA. (2018). SCANIA faz a maior venda de ônibus urbanos de sua história [Online]. Available: https://www.scania.com/br/pt/home/experience-scania/news-and-events/News/archive/2018/11/default-press-release2.html. Accessed September 2019.
Segantin, C. C. (2019). Barreiras e facilitadores para a implantação de ônibus elétrico no sistema de transporte público de São Paulo. Dissertação de Mestrado. Universidade Nove de Julho.
Shepherd, S. (2014). A review of system dynamics models applied in transportation. Transportmetrica B: Transport Dynamics, 2, 83–105.
SIAMIG. (2018). Biometano e a redução das emissões do transporte urbano [Online]. Available: http://www.siamig.com.br/artigos/biometano-e-a-reducao-das-emissoes-do-transporte-urbano. Accessed September 2019.
Slowik, P., Araujo, C., Dallmann, T., & Façanha, C. (2018). Avaliação Internacional de Politicas Públicas para Eletromobilidade em Frotas Urbanas. PROMOB-E.
SPTrans. (2019). Valores das Tarifas Vigentes a partir de 07/01/2019 [Online]. SPTrans. Available: https://www.prefeitura.sp.gov.br/cidade/secretarias/transportes/institucional/sptrans/acesso_a_informacao/index.php?p=227887. Accessed September 2019.
Tukker, A., & Butter, M. (2007). Governance of sustainable transitions: About the 4(0) ways to change the world. Journal of Cleaner Production, Elsevier BV, 15(1), 94–103. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2005.08.016
Vaz, C. R., & Maldonado, M. U. (2016). O que é a dinâmica de sistemas? Reflexões sobre sua evolução e sobre as oportunidades de aplicação na Gestão de Operações. SIMPOI.
Weber, K. M. (2003). Transforming large socio-technical systems towards sustainability: On the role of users and future visions for the uptake of city logistics and combined heat and power generation. Innovation: The European Journal of Social Science Research, Informa UK Limited, 16(2), 155–175. https://doi.org/10.1080/13511610304522
Wen, L., & Bai, L. (2017). System dynamics modeling and policy simulation for urban traffic: A case study in Bei**g. Environmental Modeling Assessment, 22, 363–378.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Volan, T., Uriona Maldonado, M., Rodrigues Vas, C. (2023). The Sustainable Transition of the Public Bus Fleet in the City of São Paulo Until 2038. In: Herrera, M.M. (eds) Business Model Innovation for Energy Transition. Palgrave Studies in Democracy, Innovation, and Entrepreneurship for Growth. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-34793-1_5
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-34793-1_5
Published:
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-031-34792-4
Online ISBN: 978-3-031-34793-1
eBook Packages: Business and ManagementBusiness and Management (R0)