Abstract
Induced seismicity associated with mining is becoming an increasingly important issue worldwide, and it poses a hazard to the exposed population and structures. In this work, the seismic sequence is analyzed with the aim of detecting changes in statistical parameters describing the seismic event occurrence before the main shocks, to be used for monitoring the sequence evolution. Temporal and spatial characteristics of seismic sequence before the large magnitude seismic events (M W > 1) in mines are used to investigate the precursor of large magnitude. The statistical results of 25 from 27 large magnitude seismic events implicate the following characteristics of precursor seismicity before the occurrence of the large magnitude seismic event of the sequence: Cumulative Benioff strain increases continuously. The Hurst exponent for the foreshocks is greater than 0.5. There is initially an increase in b value then a decrease. Three cases related to the statistical precursor are presented and discussed in the paper. The observed temporal and spatial variations of three selected indexes including b value, Hurst exponent, and cumulative Benioff strain support the hypothesis that three indexes have significant potential of statistical precursor.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
We’re sorry, something doesn't seem to be working properly.
Please try refreshing the page. If that doesn't work, please contact support so we can address the problem.
References
D.A.J. Mendecki, Seismic Monitoring in Mines (Chapman & Hall, London, 1997)
V.A. Mansurov, Prediction of rockbursts by analysis of induced seismicity data. Int. J. Rock Mech. Min. Sci. 38, 893–901 (2001)
G.L. Feng, X.T. Feng, B.R. Chen, Y.X. ** II hydropower station. Int. J. Rock Mech. Min. Sci. 80, 89–100 (2015)
L. Driad-Lebeaua, F. Lahaiea, M. Al Heiba, J.P. Josienb, P. Bigarréa, J.F. Noirelc, Seismic and geotechnical investigations following a rockburst in a complex French mining district. Int. J. Coal Geol. 64, 66–78 (2005)
W.D. Ortlepp, T.R. Stacey, Rockburst mechanisms in tunnels and shafts. Tunn. Undergr. Sp. Tech. 9(1), 59–65 (1994)
L.J. dong, D.Y. Sun, X.B. Li, Z.L. Zhou, Interval non-probabilistic reliability of a surrounding jointed rockmass in underground engineering: a case study. IEEE Access 5, 18804–18817 (2017)
L.J. Dong, W.W. Shu, X.B. Li, J.M. Zhang, Quantitative evaluation and case studies of cleaner mining with multiple indexes considering uncertainty factors for phosphorus mines. J. Clean. Prod. 183, 319–334 (2018)
L.J. Dong, X.J. Tong, X.B. Li, J. Zhou, S.F. Wang, B. Liu, Some developments and new insights of environmental problems and deep mining strategy for cleaner production in mines. J. Clean. Prod. 210, 562–1578 (2019)
L.J. Dong, J. Wesseloo, Y. Potvin, X.B. Li, Discriminant models of blasts and seismic events in mine seismology. Int. J. Rock Mech. Min. Sci. 86, 282–291 (2016)
L.J. Dong, J. Wesseloo, Y. Potvin, X.B. Li, Discrimination of mine seismic events and blasts using the Fisher classifier, naive Bayesian classifier and logistic regression. Rock Mech. Rock Eng. 49(1), 183–211 (2016)
R.P. Young, S. Talebi, D.A. Hutchins, T.I. Urbancic, Analysis of mining-induced microseismic events at Strathcona Mine, Sudbury, Canada, in Seismicity in Mines, (Birkhäuser, Basel, 1989), pp. 455–474
D.G.F. Hedley, J.E. Udd, The Canada-Ontario-industry rockburst project, in Seismicity in Mines, (Birkhäuser, Basel, 1989), pp. 661–672
J. Ma, L.J. Dong, G.Y. Zhao, X.B. Li, Discrimination of seismic sources in an underground mine using full waveform inversion. Int. J. Rock Mech. Min. Sci. 106, 213–222 (2018)
J. Ma, L.J. Dong, G.Y. Zhao, X.B. Li, Focal mechanism of mining-induced seismicity in fault zones: a case study of yongshaba mine in China. Rock Mech. Rock Eng. (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00603-019-01761-4
J. Ma, L.J. Dong, G.Y. Zhao, X.B. Li, Ground motions induced by mining seismic events with different focal mechanisms. Int. J. Rock Mech. Min. Sci. 116, 99–110 (2019)
M. Salvoni, P.M. Dight, Rock damage assessment in a large unstable slope from microseismic monitoring - MMG Century mine (Queensland, Australia) case study. Eng. Geol. 210, 45–56 (2016)
A. Milev, et al., Coseismic and aseismic deformations associated with mining-induced seismic events located in deep level mines in south Africa, in 13th SAGA Biennial Conference & Exhibition, Session 10 C – Seismology, Oct. 2013
L.J. Dong, X.B. Li, A microseismic/acoustic emission source location method using arrival times of PS waves for unknown velocity system. Int. J. Distrib. Sens. Netw. 2013, 1–8 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1155/2013/307489. Article ID 307489
X.B. Li, L.J. Dong, An efficient closed-form solution for acoustic emission source location in three-dimensional structures. AIP Adv. 4(2), 1–8 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4866170. Article ID 027110
L.J. Dong, W.W. Shu, X.B. Li, G.J. Han, W. Zou, Three dimensional comprehensive analytical solutions for locating sources of sensor networks in unknown velocity mining system. IEEE Access 5, 11337–11351 (2017)
L.J. Dong, W. Zou, X.B. Li, W.W. Shu, Z.W. Wang, Collaborative localization method using analytical and iterative solutions for microseismic/acoustic emission sources in the rockmass structure for underground mining, Eng. Fract. Mech., https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engfracmech.2018.01.032
L.J. Dong, D.Y. Sun, X.B. Li, K. Du, Theoretical and experimental studies of localization methodology for AE and microseismic sources without pre-measured wave velocity in mines. IEEE Access 5, 16818–16828 (2017)
D.M. Morrison, Rockburst research at Falconbridge’s Strathcona Mine, Sudbury, Canada. Pure Appl. Geophys. 129(3-4), 619–645 (1989)
L. Linzer, A relative moment tensor inversion technique applied to seismicity induced by mining. Rock Mech. Rock Eng. 38(2), 81–104 (2005)
L.J. Dong, D.Y. Sun, X.B. Li, J. Ma, L.Y. Zhang, X.J. Tong, Interval non-probabilistic reliability of surrounding jointed rockmass considering microseismic loads in mining tunnels. Tunn. Undergr. Sp. Tech. 81, 326–335 (2018)
D. Pastén, R. Estay, D. Comte, J. Vallejos, Multifractal analysis in mining microseismicity and its application to seismic hazard in mine. Int. J. Rock Mech. Min. Sci. 78, 74–78 (2015)
D.A. Beck, B.H.G. Brady, Evaluation and application of controlling parameters for seismic events in hard-rock mines. Int. J. Rock Mech. Min. Sci. 39, 633–642 (2002)
L.J. Dong, W.W. Shu, D.Y. Sun, X.B. Li, L.Y. Zhang, Pre-alarm system based on real-time monitoring and numerical simulation using internet of things and cloud computing for tailings dam in mines. IEEE Access 5, 21080–21089 (2017)
H.P. **e, Y. Ju, F. Gao, M. Gao, R. Zhang, Groundbreaking theoretical and technical conceptualization of fluidized mining of deep underground solid mineral resources. Tunn. Undergr. Sp. Tech. 67, 68–70 (2017)
I.G. Main, L. Li, J. Mccloskey, M. Naylor, Effect of the sumatran mega-earthquake on the global magnitude cut-off and event rate. Nat. Geosci. 1(3), 142–142 (2008)
Z. He, A discussion of the minimum magnitude of completeness for the northern portion of the north-south earthquake belt of China. J. NW Univ. (Nat. Sci. Ed.) 24, 411–416 (1994)
J.B. Rundle, Derivation of the complete Gutenberg-Richter magnitude-frequency relation using the principle of scale invariance. J. Geophys. Res. Solid Earth 94(B9), 12337–12342 (1989)
H.E. Hurst, Long-term storage of reservoirs: an experimental study. Trans. Am. Soc. Civil Eng. 116, 770–799 (1951)
M. Gilmore, C.X. Yu, T.L. Rhodes, W.A. Peebles, Investigation of rescaled range analysis, the Hurst exponent, and long-time correlations in plasma turbulence. Phys. Plasmas. 9(4), 1312–1317 (2002)
C.G. Bufe, D.J. Varnes, Predictive modeling of the seismic cycle of the Greater San Francisco Bay Region. J. Geophys. Res. Solid Earth 98(B6), 9871–9883 (1993)
D.J. Brehm, L.W. Braile, Intermediate-term earthquake prediction using the modified time-to-failure method in Southern California. B. Seismol. Soc. Am. 89(1), 275–293 (1999)
Y. Benzion, V. Lyakhovsky, Accelerated seismic release and related aspects of seismicity patterns on earthquake faults. Pure Appl. Geophys. 159(10), 2385–2412 (2002)
Acknowledgment
The authors wish to acknowledge financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (51504288), National Basic Research Program of China (2015CB060200), China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (2015M570688, 2016T90639), The Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by CAST (YESS20160175), and Innovation-Driven Project of Central South University (2016CXS001).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Dong, L., Sun, D., Shu, W., Li, X., Zhang, L. (2019). Statistical Precursor of Induced Seismicity Using Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of Seismic Sequence in Mines. In: Shen, G., Zhang, J., Wu, Z. (eds) Advances in Acoustic Emission Technology. WCAE 2017. Springer Proceedings in Physics, vol 218. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-12111-2_38
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-12111-2_38
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-12110-5
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-12111-2
eBook Packages: Physics and AstronomyPhysics and Astronomy (R0)