Asymptotics of Predictive Stochastic Complexity

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New Directions in Time Series Analysis

Part of the book series: The IMA Volumes in Mathematics and its Applications ((IMA,volume 46))

Abstract

The purpose of this expository paper is to give a survey of rigorous asymptotic results in the theory of stochastic complexity. We provide a brief survey of the early developments and the ideas which culminated in a basic inequality on universal codes. The rest of the paper is devoted to results showing that the lower bound given by the basic inequality is achieved in many important cases. The asymptotic behaviour of three kinds of predictive stochastic complexities associated with ARMA processes will be established. Finally, extensions of the ARMA results for multivariable systems, for Ljung’s scheme, and for nonparametric problems will be considered.

On leave from Computer and Automation Institute of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Budapest. The work of the first author was supported by NSERC, Canada.

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Gerencsér, L., Rissanen, J. (1993). Asymptotics of Predictive Stochastic Complexity. In: Brillinger, D., Caines, P., Geweke, J., Parzen, E., Rosenblatt, M., Taqqu, M.S. (eds) New Directions in Time Series Analysis. The IMA Volumes in Mathematics and its Applications, vol 46. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-9296-5_6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-9296-5_6

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