Abstract
This investigation aims to identify, prioritize, and determine the trend of changes in the factors affecting flood potential in the Khorramabad watershed in Iran; propose and evaluate appropriate management solutions to mitigate driving forces and pressures; and utilize the DPSIR framework to improve the state and reduce the relevant impacts. For this purpose, we quantified several indicators and criteria for each component of a conceptual cause–effect relationship diagram. According to the findings, climate change (with an average rank of 2.93), population pressure (~ 2.78), and traditional animal husbandry (~ 2.45) are the most influential factors influencing the occurrence of flooding in this watershed. The combination of flood risk factors has resulted in a significant increase in runoff production and consequently in flood discharge in the region. The results of this study indicate that: (a) there has been an upward trend in flood occurrence; (b) the pressure caused by the driving forces is intensifying; (c) the ability of managers to control the driving force is extremely limited; and d) the introduced policies have failed to mitigate flood risk.
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All data, models, and code generated or used during the study appear in the submitted article. Further details could be obtained upon sending an email to the corresponding author at e.karimi64@areeo.ac.ir.
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Acknowledgements
This article has been done in the form of a research project between the Soil Conservation and Watershed Management Research Institute and the Agricultural and Natural Resources Research Center of Lorestan Province with the number 2-59-29-04-980924. It is necessary to express our sincere gratitude for the cooperation of these centers in all stages of the project.This project was funded under the project entitled “Evaluating the solutions for flood risk management in Khorramabad watershed using DPSIR framework” NO. 2-59-29-044-980924. We would like to thank the Soil Conservation and Watershed Management Research Office for their support. The authors have no conflict of interests whatsoever.
Funding
This project was funded under the project entitled “Evaluating the solutions for flood risk management in Khorramabad watershed using DPSIR framework” NO. 2–59-29–044-980924.
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Karimi Sangchini, E., Salehpour Jam, A. & Mosaffaie, J. Flood risk management in Khorramabad watershed using the DPSIR framework. Nat Hazards 114, 3101–3121 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05507-4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05507-4