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An improved method for LEO orbit prediction using predicted accelerometer data

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Abstract

The Low Earth Orbit (LEO) enhanced Global Navigation Satellite System (LeGNSS) relies on LEO satellites to broadcast GNSS-like navigation signals, providing real-time satellite orbit and clock information to enhance GNSS service performance. To ensure real-time positioning service, a period of orbit prediction becomes necessary due to the limited signal bandwidth and computation time delay. In contrast to traditional dynamic model, on-board accelerometers offer more accurate non-gravitational acceleration for LEO satellites. In this study, we improve the accuracy of short-term (1 h) LEO satellite orbit prediction by utilizing predicted accelerometer data instead of the traditional dynamic model. We combine the Least Squares (LS) and Autoregressive (AR) methods to model and predict accelerometer data from the GRACE-A and GRACE-B (500 km) satellites. In the experiment, the 1-h prediction accuracy of the accelerometer data in the 3-Dimensional (3D) direction is 57.1 nm/s2 for the GRACE-A satellite and 56.5 nm/s2 for the GRACE-B satellite, respectively. When utilizing the predicted accelerometer data for 1-h orbit predictions, the predicted orbit precision in the 3D direction is 0.19 m for both GRACE-A and GRACE-B satellites. The orbit prediction accuracy shows an improvement of more than 65% compared to the traditional dynamic model.

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Data availability

The GRACE satellites data in this experiment are public and can be downloaded at following address. GRACE-A/B: https://search.earthdata.nasa.gov/.

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Acknowledgements

Thanks to JPL for providing the raw observation data and post-processing precision orbits of the GRACE satellites, respectively. We are also grateful to the Supercomputing Center of Wuhan University for their support in providing numerical calculation services.

Funding

This study is supported by the Key Research and Development Program of Hubei Province (No. 2022BAA054) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42374033). The numerical calculations in this paper have been done on the supercomputing system in the Supercomputing Center of Wuhan University.

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Contributions

Junfeng Du: Methodology, Software, Writing-original draft. **aolei Dai: Conceptualization, Writing-review & editing. Yidong Lou: Supervision. Yun Qing: Software, External guidance. Yaquan Peng: Validation, Data curation. **ngang Li: Writing editing.

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Correspondence to **aolei Dai.

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All authors disclosed no relevant relationships.

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Du, J., Dai, X., Lou, Y. et al. An improved method for LEO orbit prediction using predicted accelerometer data. GPS Solut 28, 132 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10291-024-01676-w

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10291-024-01676-w

Keywords

Navigation