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A nomogram for predicting invasiveness of lung adenocarcinoma manifesting as pure ground-glass nodules: incorporating subjective CT signs and histogram parameters based on artificial intelligence

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Abstract

Purpose

To construct a nomogram based on subjective CT signs and artificial intelligence (AI) histogram parameters to identify invasiveness of lung adenocarcinoma presenting as pure ground-glass nodules (pGGNs) and to evaluate its diagnostic performance.

Methods

187 patients with 228 pGGNs confirmed by postoperative pathology were collected retrospectively and divided into pre-invasive group [atypical adenomatous hyperplasia (AAH) and adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS)] and invasive group [minimally invasive adenocarcinoma (MIA) and invasive adenocarcinoma (IAC)]. All pGGNs were randomly assigned to training cohort (n = 160) and validation cohort (n = 68). Nomogram was developed using subjective CT signs and AI-based histogram parameters by logistic regression analysis. The diagnostic performance was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) curve.

Results

The nomogram was constructed with nodule shape, 3D mean diameter, maximum CT value, and skewness. It showed better discriminative power in differentiating invasive lesions from pre-invasive lesions with area under curve (AUC) of 0.849 (95% CI 0.790–0.909) in the training cohort and 0.831 (95% CI 0.729–0.934) in the validation cohort, which performed better than nodule shape (AUC 0.675, 95% CI 0.609–0.741), 3D mean diameter (AUC 0.762, 95% CI 0.688–0.835), maximum CT value (AUC 0.794, 95% CI 0.727–0.862), or skewness (AUC 0.594, 95% CI 0.506–0.682) alone in training cohort (for all, P < 0.05).

Conclusion

For pulmonary pGGNs, the nomogram based on subjective CT signs and AI histogram parameters had a good predictive ability to discriminate invasive lung adenocarcinoma from pre-invasive lung adenocarcinoma, and it has the potential to improve diagnostic efficiency and to help the patient management.

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Data availability

The data (anonymized) that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon request.

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Funding

The authors declare that no funds, grants, or other support were received during the preparation of this manuscript.

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

All authors contributed to the study conception and design. RG contributed to writing—original draft. YG contributed to conceptualization and methodology. JZ and CY contributed to writing—review and editing. CZ and YZ contributed to data curation and formal analysis. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Yue Zhang or Chengxin Yan.

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Conflict of interest

The authors have no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose.

Ethical approval

The study received ethical approval by the Institutional Ethics Committee of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University (No. 2021-086) and informed consent was obtained from all patients.

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Gao, R., Gao, Y., Zhang, J. et al. A nomogram for predicting invasiveness of lung adenocarcinoma manifesting as pure ground-glass nodules: incorporating subjective CT signs and histogram parameters based on artificial intelligence. J Cancer Res Clin Oncol 149, 15323–15333 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00432-023-05262-4

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00432-023-05262-4

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