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Assessment of breast lesions by the Kaiser score for differential diagnosis on MRI: the added value of ADC and machine learning modeling

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Abstract

Objectives

To evaluate the diagnostic performance of Kaiser score (KS) adjusted with the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) (KS+) and machine learning (ML) modeling.

Methods

A dataset of 402 malignant and 257 benign lesions was identified. Two radiologists assigned the KS. If a lesion with KS > 4 had ADC > 1.4 × 10−3 mm2/s, the KS was reduced by 4 to become KS+. In order to consider the full spectrum of ADC as a continuous variable, the KS and ADC values were used to train diagnostic models using 5 ML algorithms. The performance was evaluated using the ROC analysis, compared by the DeLong test. The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy achieved using the threshold of KS > 4, KS+ > 4, and ADC ≤ 1.4 × 10−3 mm2/s were obtained and compared by the McNemar test.

Results

The ROC curves of KS, KS+, and all ML models had comparable AUC in the range of 0.883–0.921, significantly higher than that of ADC (0.837, p < 0.0001). The KS had sensitivity = 97.3% and specificity = 59.1%; and the KS+ had sensitivity = 95.5% with significantly improved specificity to 68.5% (p < 0.0001). However, when setting at the same sensitivity of 97.3%, KS+ could not improve specificity. In ML analysis, the logistic regression model had the best performance. At sensitivity = 97.3% and specificity = 65.3%, i.e., compared to KS, 16 false-positives may be avoided without affecting true cancer diagnosis (p = 0.0015).

Conclusion

Using dichotomized ADC to modify KS to KS+ can improve specificity, but at the price of lowered sensitivity. Machine learning algorithms may be applied to consider the ADC as a continuous variable to build more accurate diagnostic models.

Key Points

• When using ADC to modify the Kaiser score to KS+, the diagnostic specificity according to the results of two independent readers was improved by 9.4–9.7%, at the price of slightly degraded sensitivity by 1.5–1.8%, and overall had improved accuracy by 2.6–2.9%.

• When the KS and the continuous ADC values were combined to train models by machine learning algorithms, the diagnostic specificity achieved by the logistic regression model could be significantly improved from 59.1 to 65.3% (p = 0.0015), while maintaining at the high sensitivity of KS = 97.3%, and thus, the results demonstrated the potential of ML modeling to further evaluate the contribution of ADC.

• When setting the sensitivity at the same levels, the modified KS+ and the original KS have comparable specificity; therefore, KS+ with consideration of ADC may not offer much practical help, and the original KS without ADC remains as an excellent robust diagnostic method.

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Abbreviations

ADC:

Apparent diffusion coefficient

AUC:

Area under ROC curve

BI-RADS:

Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System

BPE:

Background parenchymal enhancement

CI:

Confidence interval

DCE:

Dynamic contrast-enhanced

DCIS:

Ductal carcinoma in situ

DWI:

Diffusion-weighted imaging

ICC:

Intraclass correlation coefficient

KS:

Kaiser score

LDA:

Linear discriminant analysis

LR:

Logistic regression

ML:

Machine learning

MRI:

Magnetic resonance imaging

NB:

Naive Bayes

ROC:

Receiver operator characteristic

ROI:

Region of interest

SVM_L:

Linear kernel support vector machine

SVM_R:

Radial kernel support vector machine

VIBRANT:

Volume imaging for breast assessment

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Funding

This work was supported by the Key Laboratory of Intelligent Medical Imaging of Wenzhou (No. 2021HZSY0057), the Key Laboratory of Alzheimer’s Disease of Zhejiang Province, Institute of Aging, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China, Wenzhou Science & Technology Bureau (No. Y20180185), the Medical Health Science and Technology Project of Zhejiang Province Health Commission (No. 2019KY102), the National Cancer Institute of the National Institutes of Health under award numbers P30 CA062203, R01 CA127927, and R21 CA208938, and the UC Irvine Comprehensive Cancer Center using UCI Anti-Cancer Challenge funds.

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Correspondence to Min-Ying Su or Mei-Hao Wang.

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The scientific guarantor of this publication is Min-Ying Su, PhD.

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The authors of this manuscript declare no relationships with any companies, whose products or services may be related to the subject matter of the article.

Statistics and biometry

No complex statistical methods were necessary for this paper.

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Written informed consent was waived by the Institutional Review Board of the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University.

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Institutional Review Board approval was obtained from Institutional Review Board of the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University (approval number 2021-R007).

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Chen, ZW., Zhao, YF., Liu, HR. et al. Assessment of breast lesions by the Kaiser score for differential diagnosis on MRI: the added value of ADC and machine learning modeling. Eur Radiol 32, 6608–6618 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-022-08899-w

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