Log in

Unemployment and social problems in the post-war United States

  • Published:
Social Indicators Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of unemployment on social problems in the post-war United States. Working within a conceptual framework derived from sociological and economic theory, dynamic macro social indicator models are constructed for four social problems-rates of suicide, homicide, divorce and alcoholism. In general, the results do not indicate a strong and consistent relationship between the unemployment rate and these social problems. High or increasing unemployment rates tend to raise the suicide rate, but lower the alcoholism rate and have no appreciable effect on the divorce rate. High levels of unemployment lower the homicide rate, but increases in unemployment tend to raise it. For all social problems except the divorce rate, the level of economic inequality has a consistently positive influence.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
EUR 32.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or Ebook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Price includes VAT (France)

Instant access to the full article PDF.

We’re sorry, something doesn't seem to be working properly.

Please try refreshing the page. If that doesn't work, please contact support so we can address the problem.

Bibliography

  • AbromowitzMoses: 1979, ‘Economic growth and its discontents’, in M. J.Boskin (ed.): Economics and Human Welfare (Academic Press, New York), pp. 3–21.

    Google Scholar 

  • AllisonPaul D.: 1978, ‘Measures of inequality’, American Sociological Review 43, pp. 865–880.

    Google Scholar 

  • AndersonCharles A.: 1976, The Sociology of Survival: Social Problems of Growth (Dorsey, Homewood, IL).

    Google Scholar 

  • AngellRobert C.: 1941, The Intergration of American Society (McGraw-Hill, New York).

    Google Scholar 

  • BlauJudith R., and Peter M.Blau: 1982, ‘The cost of inequality: metropolitan structure and violent crime’, American Sociological Review 47, pp. 114–129.

    Google Scholar 

  • BlinderAlan S.: 1980, ‘The level and distribution of economic well-being’, in M.Feldstein (ed.): The American Economy in Transition (University of Chicago Press, Chicago), pp. 415–479.

    Google Scholar 

  • BlinderAlan S., and H. Y.Esaki: 1978, ‘Macroeconomic activity and income distribution in the postwar United States’, Review of Economics and Statistics 60, pp. 604–609.

    Google Scholar 

  • BlumbergPaul: 1980, Inequality in an Age of Decline (Oxford University Press, New York).

    Google Scholar 

  • BraithwaiteJohn: 1979, Inequality, Crime, and Public Policy (Routledge and Kegan Paul, London).

    Google Scholar 

  • BrennerM. Harvey: 1975, ‘Trends in alcohol consumption and associated illness’, American Journal of Public Health 65, pp. 1279–1292.

    Google Scholar 

  • BrennerM. Harvey: 1976, Estimating the Social Costs of National Economic Policy: Implications for Mental and Physical Health, and Criminal Aggression (U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC).

    Google Scholar 

  • Cantor, D., and K. C. Land: 1983, Unemployment and Crime Rates in the Post World War II United States: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis, Unpublished paper. Working paper No. 5004, University of Texas Population Research Center.

  • CatalanoRalph, and DavidDooley: 1979, ‘The economy as stressor: a sectoral analysis’, Review of Social Economy 37, pp. 175–187.

    Google Scholar 

  • CatalanoRalph, and DavidDooley: 1983, ‘Health effects of economic instability: a test of economic stress hypothesis’, Journal of Health and Social Behavior 24, pp. 46–60.

    Google Scholar 

  • CherlinAndrew: 1981, Marriage Divorce, Remarriage (Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA).

    Google Scholar 

  • ChesterC. Ronald: 1977, ‘The effects of a redistribution of wealth on property crime’, Crime and Delinquency 23, pp. 272–289.

    Google Scholar 

  • CohenLawrence E., and MarcusFelson: 1979a, ‘On estimating the costs of national economic policy: a critical examination of the Brenner study’, Social Indicators Research 6, pp. 251–259.

    Google Scholar 

  • CohenLawrence E., and MarcusFelson: 1979b, ‘Social change and crime rate trends: a routine activities approach’, American Sociological Review 44, pp. 588–608.

    Google Scholar 

  • CohenLawrence E., MarcusFelson, and K. C.Land: 1980, ‘Property crime rates in the United States: a macrodynamic analysis, 1947–1977; with ex ante forecasts for the mid-1980s’, American Journal of Sociology 86, pp. 90–118.

    Google Scholar 

  • DanzigerSheldon, and DavidWheeler: 1975, ‘The economics of crime: punishment or income redistribution’, Review of Social Economy 33, pp. 113–130.

    Google Scholar 

  • DaviesJames C.: 1962, ‘Toward a Theory of Revolution’, American Sociological Review 62, pp. 5–19.

    Google Scholar 

  • DooleyDavid, and RalphCatalano: 1980, ‘Economic change as a cause of behavioral disorder’, Psychological Bulletin 87, pp. 450–468.

    Google Scholar 

  • DurkheimEmile: 1951, Suicide (Free Press, New York).

    Google Scholar 

  • EasterlinRichard A.: 1973, ‘Does money buy happiness?’, The Public Interest 30, pp. 1–16.

    Google Scholar 

  • EasterlinRichard A.: 1978, ‘What will 1984 be like?: socioeconomic implications of recent twists in age structure’, Demography 15 pp. 297–432.

    Google Scholar 

  • EasterlinRichard A.: 1980, Birth and Fortune: The impact of Numbers of Personal Welfare (Basic Books, New York).

    Google Scholar 

  • EasterlinRichard A., and M.Shapiro: 1979, ‘Homicide and fertility rates in the United States: a comment’, Social Biology, 26, pp. 341–343.

    Google Scholar 

  • FarleyReynolds: 1980, ‘Homicide trends in the United States’, Demography 17, pp. 177–188.

    Google Scholar 

  • GlennNorval D.: 1974, ‘Income inequality in the United States’, in J.Lopreato and L. S.Lewis (eds.). Social Stratification (Harper and Row New York), pp. 391–398.

    Google Scholar 

  • GlickPaul C., and A. J.Norton: 1973, ‘Perspectives on the recent upturn in divorce and remarriage’, Demography 10, pp. 301–314.

    Google Scholar 

  • GoldthorpeJohn H.: 1974, ‘Social inequality and social integration’, in L.Rainwater (ed.), Inequality and Justice (Aldine, Chicago).

    Google Scholar 

  • GoodeWilliam J.: 1971, ‘Family disorganization’, in R.Merton and R.Nisbet (eds.): Contemporary Social Problems (Harcourt, Brace, Jovanovich, New York), pp. 467–544.

    Google Scholar 

  • GoreS.: 1978, ‘The effect of social support in moderating the health consequences of unemployment’, Journal of Health and Social Behavior 19, pp. 157–165.

    Google Scholar 

  • HirschFred: 1976, Social Limits to Growth (Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA).

    Google Scholar 

  • HodsonHenry V.: 1972, The Diseconomies of Growth (Earth Island Ltd, London).

    Google Scholar 

  • HuberJoan, and GlennaSpitze: 1980, ‘Considering divorce: an expansion of Becker's theory of marital instability’, American Journal of Sociology 86, pp. 75–89.

    Google Scholar 

  • JacobsDavid: 1978, ‘Inequality and the legal order: an ecological test of the conflict model’, Social Problems 25 pp. 515–25.

    Google Scholar 

  • JohnstonJ.: 1972, Econometric Methods (McGraw-Hill, New York).

    Google Scholar 

  • KleckGary: 1979, ‘Capital punishment, gun ownership, and homicide’, American Journal of Sociology 84, pp. 882–910.

    Google Scholar 

  • KristolIrving: 1980, ‘Some personal reflections on economic well-being and income distribution’, in M.Feldstein (ed.): The American Economy in Transition (University of Chicago Press, Chicago).

    Google Scholar 

  • LandKenneth C., and MarcusFelson: 1976 ‘A general framework for building dynamic macro social indicator models including an analysis of changes in crime rates and police expenditures’, American Journal of Sociology 82, pp. 565–604.

    Google Scholar 

  • LandKenneth C., and MarcusFelson: 1977, ‘A dynamic macro social indicator model of changes in marriage, family and population in the U.S.: 1946–74’, Social Science Research 6, pp. 328–362.

    Google Scholar 

  • LandKenneth C., and Marilyn N.McMillen: 1980, ‘A macrodynamic analysis of changes in mortality indexes in the United States, 1946–75: some preliminary results’, Social Indicators Research 7, pp. 1–46.

    Google Scholar 

  • LeiberC. S., and L. M.DeCarli: 1977, ‘Metabolic effects of alcohol on the liver’, in C.Leiber (ed.). Metabolic Aspects of Alcoholism (University Park Press, Baltimore).

    Google Scholar 

  • LiebhafskyE. E., J. E.Gruschke, and W. L.McKee: 1980, ‘Value judgments inherent in criticisms of the CPS measurement of unemployment’, Social Science Quarterly 61, pp. 237–252.

    Google Scholar 

  • LikerJ. K., and G. H.ElderJr.: 1983, ‘Economic hardship and marital relations in the 1930s’, American Sociological Review 48, pp. 343–359.

    Google Scholar 

  • LipsetSeymour Martin: 1979, ‘Predicting the future of post-industrial Society’, in S. M.Lipset (ed.): The Third Century: America as a Post-Industrial Society (University of Chicago Press, Chicago), pp. 1–35.

    Google Scholar 

  • McKeanRoland N.: 1973, ‘Growth vs no growth: an evaluation’, in M.Olson and H.Lansberg (eds.): The No-Growth Society (W. W. Norton, New York), pp. 207–227.

    Google Scholar 

  • MarshallJames R.: 1981, ‘Political integration and the effect of war on suicide: United States, 1933–1976’, Social Forces 59, pp. 771–785.

    Google Scholar 

  • MarshallJames R., and Robert W.Hodge: 1981, ‘Durkhein and Pierce on suicide and economic change’, Social Science Research 10, pp. 101–114.

    Google Scholar 

  • MayhewBruce H., and Roger L.Levinger: 1976, ‘Size and Density of Interaction in Human Aggregates’, American Journal of Sociology 81, pp. 1017–1049.

    Google Scholar 

  • MertonRobert K.: 1957, Social Theory and Social Structure (Free Press, New York).

    Google Scholar 

  • MertonRobert K.: 1971, ‘Social problems and sociological theory’, in R.Merton and R.Nisbet (eds.): Contemporary Social Problems (Harcourt, Brace, Jovanovich, New York), pp. 793–845.

    Google Scholar 

  • MessnerSteven F.: 1980, ‘Income inequality and murder rates: some cross-national findings’, Comparative Social Research 3, pp. 185–198.

    Google Scholar 

  • MichaelRobert T.: 1978, ‘The rise in divorce rates’, Demography 15, pp. 177–182.

    Google Scholar 

  • MishanEzra J.: 1967, The Costs of Economic Growth (Staples Press, London).

    Google Scholar 

  • NortonA. J., and P. C.Glick: 1979, ‘Marital instability in American: past, present and future’, in G.Levinger and O. C.Moles (eds.). Divorce and Separation (Basic Books, New York), pp. 6–19.

    Google Scholar 

  • OgburnWilliam F., and Dorothy S.Thomas: 1922, ‘The influence of the business cycle on certain social conditions’, Journal of the American Statistical Association 18, pp. 324–340.

    Google Scholar 

  • OstromCharles W.Jr.: 1978, Time-Series Analysis: Regression Techniques (Sage, Beverly Hills).

    Google Scholar 

  • PierceA.: 1967, ‘The economic cycle anf the social suicide rate’, American Sociological Review 32, pp. 457–462.

    Google Scholar 

  • PrestonS. H., and J.McDonald: 1979, ‘The incidence of divorce within cohorts of American marriages contracted since the Civil War’, Demography 12, pp. 1–26.

    Google Scholar 

  • RuncimenWalter G.: 1966, Relative Deprivation and Social Justice (Routledge and Kegan Paul, London).

    Google Scholar 

  • SchmidtW., and J.deLint: 1972, ‘Causes of death of alcoholics’, Quarterly Journal of Studies on Alcohol 33, pp. 171–185.

    Google Scholar 

  • South, S. J., and L. C. Cohen: 1983, ‘Economic conditions and the homicide rate: a paradox resolved?’, unpublished paper.

  • StackSteven: 1980, ‘The Effects of Martital Dissolution on Suicide’, Journal of Marriage and the Family 42, pp. 83–92.

    Google Scholar 

  • TheilHenri: 1971, Principles of Econometrics (John Wiley, New York).

    Google Scholar 

  • ThomasDorothy S.: 1927, Social Aspects of the Business Cycle (Gordon and Breach, New York).

    Google Scholar 

  • TreasJudith, and Robin J.Walther: 1978, ‘Family structure and the distribution of family income’, Social Forces 56, pp. 866–880.

    Google Scholar 

  • U.S. Bureau of the Census: 1975, Historical Statistics of the United States, Colonial Times to 1970 (U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC).

    Google Scholar 

  • U.S. Bureau of the Census: 1980, Current Population Reports, Series P-60, No. 123, ‘Money Income in 1978 of Families and Persons in the United States’ (U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC).

    Google Scholar 

  • U.S. Department of Commerce: Various years Statistical Abstract of the United States (U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC).

  • U.S. Department of Health, Education and Welfare: Various years Annual Vital Health Statistics Report (U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC).

  • VigderhousGideon: 1978, ‘Cyclical variations of monthyly and yearly homicide rates in the United States and their relationship to changes in the unemployment rate’, in C. F.Wellford (ed.): Quantitative Studies in Criminology (Sage, Beverly Hills, CA).

    Google Scholar 

  • VigderhousGideon, and G.Fishman: 1978a, ‘The impact of unemployment and social integration on changing suicide rates in the U.S.A., 1920–1969’, Social Psychiatry 13, pp. 239–248.

    Google Scholar 

  • VigderhousGideon, and G.Fishman: 1978b, ‘Social indicators of marital instability, U.S.A., 1920–1969’ Social Indicators Research 5, pp. 325–44.

    Google Scholar 

  • WelfordCharles F.: 1973, ‘Age composition and the increase in recorded crime’, Criminology 11, pp. 61–70.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

I am grateful to W. Parker Frisbie, Mark A. Fossett, Steven Messner, Kenneth C. Land, and an anonymous SIR reviewer for helpful comments on earlier drafts of this paper

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

South, S.J. Unemployment and social problems in the post-war United States. Social Indicators Research 15, 389–416 (1984). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00351446

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00351446

Keywords

Navigation