Log in

Spatiotemporal variability of four precipitation-based drought indices in **njiang, China

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Theoretical and Applied Climatology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Global increases in duration and prevalence of droughts require detailed drought characterization at various spatial and temporal scales. In this study, drought severity in **njiang, China was investigated between 1961 and 2012. Using meteorological data from 55 weather stations, the UNEP (1993) index (I A), Erinç’s aridity index (I m), and Sahin’s aridity index (I sh) were calculated at the monthly and annual timescales and compared to the Penman-Monteith based standard precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEIPM). Drought spatiotemporal variability was analyzed for north (NX), south (SX), and entire **njiang (EX). I m could not be calculated at 51 stations in winter as T max was below 0. At the monthly timescale, I A, I m, and I sh correlated poorly to SPEIPM because of seasonality and temporal variability, but annual I A, I m, and I sh correlated well with SPEIPM. Annual I A, I m, and I sh showed strong spatial variability. The 15 extreme droughts denoted by monthly SPEIPM occurred in NX but out of phase in SX. Annual precipitation, maximum temperature, and relative and specific humidity increased, while air pressure and potential evapotranspiration decreased over 1961–2012. The resulting increases in the four drought indices indicated that drought severity in **njiang decreased, because the local climate became warmer and wetter.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
EUR 32.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or Ebook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Price includes VAT (Canada)

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11
Fig. 12

Similar content being viewed by others

Abbreviations

I A :

UNEP aridity index

e a :

Vapor pressure of air

I m :

Erinç’s aridity index

I sh :

Sahin’s aridity index

LTA:

Long-term average

M :

Multi-year mean

P :

Precipitation

PR:

Air pressure

RH:

Relative humidity

S h :

Specific humidity

ETo :

Potential evapotranspiration

SPI:

Standardized precipitation index

SPEI:

Standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index

U 2 :

Wind speed at 2 m

n :

Sunshine hour

T min :

Minimum air temperature

T max :

Maximum air temperature

T a :

Mean air temperature

C v :

Variability coefficient

C v, t :

Temporal C v

C v, s :

Spatial C v

References

  • Alam M-T, Iskander S-M (2013) Climate change impact: climate type, vegetation type, rainfall intensity over three decades in Bangladesh. IOSR J Environ Sci Toxicol Food Technol 4(6):56–59

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Allen RG, Pereira LS, Raes D, Smith M (1998) Crop evapotranspiration: guidelines for computing crop requirements, irrigation and drainage paper 56. FAO, Roma

    Google Scholar 

  • Altin TB, Barak B, Altin BN (2012) Change in precipitation and temperature amounts over three decades in Central Anatolia, Turkey. Atmos Clim Sci 2:107–125

    Google Scholar 

  • Arora VK (2002) The use of the aridity index to assess climate change effect on annual runoff. J Hydrol 265(1–4):164–177

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bacanli UG, Dikbas F, Baran T (2011) Meteorological drought analysis case study: Central Anatolia. Desalin Water Treat 26(1–3):14–23. doi:10.5004/dwt.2011.2105

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bates BC, Kundzewicz ZW, Wu S, Palutikof JP (Eds.) (2008) Climate change and water. Technical Paper, International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Secretariat, Geneva

  • Beguería S, Vicente-Serrano SM, Angulo M (2010) A multi-scalar global drought data set: the SPEI base: a new gridded product for the analysis of drought variability and impacts. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 91:1351–1354

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beguería S, Vicente-Serrano SM, Reig F, Latorre B (2013) Standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) revisited: parameter fitting, evapotranspiration models, tools, datasets and drought monitoring. Int J Climatol. doi:10.1002/joc.3887

    Google Scholar 

  • Blaney HF, Criddle WD (1950) Determining water requirements in irrigated areas from climatologically and irrigation data. USDA, SCS. SCS-TP-96, 48

  • Bloomfield JP, Marchant B (2013) Analysis of groundwater drought using a variant of the Standardised Precipitation Index. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci Discuss 10:7537–7574

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Budyko MI (1974) Climate and life. Academic, Orlando, p 508

    Google Scholar 

  • China Meteorology Administration (2006) Classification of meteorological drought. GB/T 20481–2006. China Meteorological Press, Bei**g, In Chinese

    Google Scholar 

  • Erinç S (1965) An attempt on precipitation efficiency and a new index. Istanbul University Institute Release. Baha Press, Istanbul (in Turkish)

    Google Scholar 

  • Geng Q, Wu P, Zhao X, Wang Y (2014) Comparison of classification methods for the divisions of wet/dry climate regions in Northwest China. Int J Climatol 34:2163–2174

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gill AE (1982) Atmosphere–ocean dynamics. Academic, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Guttman NB (1998) Comparing the palmer drought index and the standardized precipitation index. J Am Water Resour Assoc 34:113–121

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Haider S, Adnan S (2014) Classification and assessment of aridity over Pakistan provinces (1960–2009). Int J Environ 3(4):24–35

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hargreaves GH, Samani ZA (1985) Reference crop evapotranspiration from temperature. Appl Eng Agric 1:96–99

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Held IM, Soden BJ (2000) Water vapor feedback and global warming. Annu Rev Energy Environ 25:441–475

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huo Z, Dai X, Feng S, Kang S, Huang G (2013) Effect of climate change on reference evapotranspiration and aridity index in arid region of China. J Hydrol 492:24–34

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kao SC, Govindaraju RS (2010) A copula-based joint deficit index for droughts. J Hydrol 380(1–2):121–134

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kendall MG (1975) Rank auto-correlation methods. Charles Griffin, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Li Y, Zhou MD (2014) Trends in dryness index based on potential evapotranspiration and precipitation over 1961–2099 in **njiang, China. Adv Meteorol 2014:1–15. doi:10.1155/2014/548230

    Google Scholar 

  • Li B, Liang Z, Yu Z, Acharya K (2014) Evaluation of drought and wetness episodes in a cold region (Northeast China) since 1898 with different drought indices. Nat Hazards 71:2063–2085

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mann HB (1945) Non-parametric tests against trend. Econometrica 13:245–259

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mao WY, Nan QH, Shi HZ (2008) Research of climatic regionalization with climate change in **njiang. Meteorol Monthly 34(10):67–73 (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • McKee TB, Doeskin NJ, Kleist J (1993) The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. In: Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology, January 17–22, Anaheim, CA, Am Meteor Soc 179–184

  • Mishra AK, Singh VP (2010) A review of drought concepts. J Hydrol 391:202–216

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nielsen DR, Bouma J (1985) Soil spatial variability. In: Proceedings of a Workshop of the International Soil Science Society and the Soil Science Society of America, Pudoc, Wageningen. pp. 243

  • Núñez J, Rivera D, Oyarzún R, Arumí JL (2014) On the use of standardized drought indices under decadal climate variability: critical assessment and drought policy implications. J Hydrol 517:458–470

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Palmer WC (1965) Meteorological drought: U.S. Weather Bureau Research Paper, 45, 64 pp

  • Palmer WC (1968) Kee** track of crop moisture conditions, nationwide: the new crop moisture index. Weatherwise 21:156–161

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Priestley CHB, Taylor RJ (1972) On the assessment of surface heat flux and evaporation using large-scale parameters. Mon Weather Rev 100(2):81–92

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ruckstuhl C, Philipona R, Morland J, Ohmura A (2007) Observed relationship between surface specific humidity, integrated water vapor, and longwave downward radiation at different altitudes. J Geophys Res 112, D03302. doi:10.1029/2006JD007850

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sadeghi AR, Kamgar-Haghighi AA, Sepaskhah AR, Khalili D, Zand-Parsa SH (2002) Regional classification for dryland agriculture in southern Iran. J Arid Environ 50:333–341

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sahin S (2012) An aridity index defined by precipitation and specific humidity. J Hydrol 444–445:166–208

    Google Scholar 

  • Sen PK (1968) Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall’s tau. J Am Stat Assoc 63:1379–1389

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sheffield J, Wood EF, Roderick ML (2012) Little change in global drought over the past 60 years. Nature 491:435–437

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shukla S, Wood AW (2008) Use of a standardized runoff index for characterizing hydrologic drought. Geophys Res Lett 35, L02405. doi:10.1029/2007GL032487

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Staudinger M, Stahl K, Seibert J (2014) A drought index accounting for snow. Water Resour Res 50:7861–7872. doi:10.1002/2013WR015143

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thornthwaite CW (1948) An approach toward a rational classification of climate. Geogr Rev 38:55–94

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Türkeş M, Akgündüz AS (2011) Assessment of the desertification vulnerability of the Cappadocian district (Central Anatolia, Turkey) based on aridity and climate-process system. Int J Human Sci 8(1):1234–1268

    Google Scholar 

  • UNEP (1993) World atlas of desertification. The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). London

  • Vicente-Serrano SM, Beguería S, López-Moreno JI (2010) A multiscalar drought index sensitive to global warming: the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index. J Clim 23:1696–1718

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vicente-Serrano SM, Azorin-Molina C, Sanchez-Lorenzo A, Moran-Tejeda E, Lorenzo-Lacruz J, Revuelto J, López-Moreno JI, Espejo F (2014) Temporal evolution of surface humidity in Spain: recent trends and possible physical mechanisms. Clim Dyn 42:2655–2674

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang B, Zhang M, Wei J, Wang S, Li S, Ma Q, Li X, Pan S (2013) Changes in extreme events of temperature and precipitation over **njiang, northwest China, during 1960–2009. Quat Int 298:141–151

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wen KG, Shi YG (2006) China's meteorological disaster: volume of **njiang. China Meteorological Press, Bei**g, p 340, in Chinese

    Google Scholar 

  • Yue S, Pilon P, Phinney B, Cavadias G (2002) The influence of autocorrelation on the ability to detect trend in hydrological series. Hydrol Process 16:1807–1829

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang Q, Li JF, Singh VP, Bai YG (2012) SPI-based evaluation of drought events in **njiang, China. Nat Hazards 64(1):481–492

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zuo HC, Lu SH, Hu YQ (2004) Variation of trend of yearly mean air temperature and precipitation in China in the last 50 years. Plateau Meteol 23(2):238–244 (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

This study was financially supported by the **njiang Joint Project of the Chinese National Science Foundations (U1203182, 51579213), the State Foundation for Studying Abroad (201506305014), and China 111 project (B12007). We also thank the Meteorological Data Sharing Service Network in China (cdc.nmic.cn) for supplying weather data. The constructive comments of three anonymous reviewers strengthened the analyses of this paper.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yi Li.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Li, Y., Yao, N., Sahin, S. et al. Spatiotemporal variability of four precipitation-based drought indices in **njiang, China. Theor Appl Climatol 129, 1017–1034 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-016-1827-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-016-1827-5

Keywords

Navigation