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6 Fundamental “Uncertainty” in Science
The conference on “Uncertainty and Surprise” was concerned with our fundamental inability to predict future events. How can we restructure... -
17 Uncertainty as Certaint
I am trying to make money in the biotech industry from complexity science. And I am doing it with inspiration that I picked up on the edge of... -
2 Surprises in a Half Century
Ilya Prigogine participated early in the organization of our meeting and was invited to give a keynote address. Due to poor health he... -
9 A View from the Inside: The Task of Managing Uncertainty and Surprise
Let me shift the flow of the day a little bit, because I am not here to present a theory, or prove a theory. Actually, I come here with questions.... -
4 The Evolutionary Complexity of Social Economic Systems: The Inevitability of Uncertainty and Surprise
In order to improve our quality of life and the successful functioning of our organisations and social institutions, or to mitigate some anticipated... -
7 The Complementary Nature of Coordination Dynamics: Toward a Science of the In-Between
My take-off point in this brief essay is the following comment from the introductory material that all the participants received for the conference... -
1 Uncertainty and Surprise: An Introduction
Much of the traditional scientific and applied scientific work in the social and natural sciences has been built on the supposition that the... -
Symmetries of Discrete Systems
In this series of lectures, we review the application of Lie point symmetries, and their generalizations, to the study of difference equations. The... -
Discrete Painlevé Equations: A Review
We present a review of what is current knowledge about discrete Painlevé equations. We start with a historical introduction which explains how the... -
Sato Theory and Transformation Groups. A Unified Approach to Integrable Systems
More than 20 years ago, it was discovered that the solutions of the Kadomtsev-Petviashvili (KP) hierarchy constitute an infinite-dimensional... -
Ultradiscrete Systems (Cellular Automata)
Ultradiscretization is a limiting procedure which allows one to obtain a cellular automaton (CA) from continuous equations. Using this method, we can... -
Time in Science: Reversibility vs. Irreversibility
To discuss properly the question of irreversibility one needs to make a careful distinction between reversibility of the equations of motion and the... -
5 Managing the Unexpected: Complexity as Distributed Sensemaking
In 1998 the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) published a statement of their strategy entitled “Preventing Emerging Infectious Diseases: A Strategy... -
16 Transforming Your Regional Economy through Uncertainty and Surprise: Learning from Complexity Science, Network Theory and the Field
The field of regional development blossomed in the last decade, as researchers and practitioners increasingly asserted that the region was the most... -
15 The Fundamental Uncertainty of Business: Real Options
The purpose of this paper is to discuss the manner in which uncertainty is currently evaluated in business, with an emphasis on economic measures. In... -
10 An Introduction to the Mathematics and Meaning of Chaos
It is a pleasure for me to be here, both to talk and to listen. I thank Curt Lindberg and the other organizers for this opportunity. It has been a... -
13 Medical Errors and Microsystems: The Best Things Cannot Be Told
The best things cannot be told Because they transcend all thought. The... -
14 Organization and Leadership in Hospitals
Good Morning. I was surprised yesterday morning after listening to Karl Weick’s wonderful presentation to find myself thinking that I should be... -
11 The Social Construction of Uncertainty in Healthcare Delivery
We explore the following question: How would healthcare delivery be different if uncertainty were widely recognized, accurately diagnosed, and... -
18 Uncertainty and Surprise: Ideas from the Open Discussion
Approximately one hundred participants met for three days at a conference entitled “Uncertainty and Surprise: Questions on Working with the...