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Modelling and Forecasting Interregional Migration for Multiregional Population Projections
In this paper we focus on modelling and forecasting gross interregional migration in a way that can be embedded within multiregional population...
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Boosted Regression Trees for Small-Area Population Forecasting
Small-area population forecasting, such as the forecasting of age/gender grou**s at the level of US Census Tracts, is challenged by thorny issues...
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Forecasting a Tribal Population Using the Cohort-Component Method: A Case Study of the Hopi
Population forecasting is a difficult endeavor. When it involves a “small” population, forecasting becomes even more difficult because of the lack of...
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Population Change
Population changeChange, population is of particular interest to demographers. This chapter describes the process of population change and... -
Japanese Population Geographies I Migration, Urban Areas, and a New Concept
This is the first anthology that conveys in detail the actual situation of population geographies in Japan, a country facing some of the world's most...
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Japanese Population Geographies II Minority Populations and Future Prospects
This is the first anthology that conveys in detail the actual situation of population geographies in Japan, a country facing some of the world's most...
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Multi-country clustering-based forecasting of healthy life expectancy
Healthy life expectancy (HLE) is an indicator that measures the number of years individuals at a given age are expected to live free of disease or...
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Forecasting Inequalities in Survival to Retirement Age by Socioeconomic Status in Denmark and Sweden
In Denmark and Sweden, statutory retirement age is indexed to life expectancy to account for mortality improvements in their populations. However,...
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From academia to policy makers: a methodology for real-time forecasting of infrequent events
The field of conflict forecasting has matured greatly over the last decade. Advances in machine learning have allowed researchers to forecast rare...
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An Example of Combining Expert Judgment and Small Area Projection Methods: Forecasting for Water District Needs
This case study shows how GIS and Expert Judgment can be used to develop small area population forecasts in the United States. It starts by...
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A Backward-Forward Non-uniform Wavelet Forecasting Quality of Life Model in Digital Media Framework
Since the discovery and the development of many technological instruments such as modern communication and communication technologies, digital media...
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The Future Process of Japan’s Population Aging: A Cluster Analysis Using Small Area Population Projection Data
Japan’s population aging is the most advanced in the world today. No nationwide study has been conducted using small area population projection data...
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Assessment and forecasting of the urban dynamics through lulc based mixed model: evidence from Agartala, India
The main objective of this paper is to assess the urban expansion by using Remote Sensing and Geographical Information System along with field...
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Methods for Small Area Population Forecasts: State-of-the-Art and Research Needs
Small area population forecasts are widely used by government and business for a variety of planning, research and policy purposes, and often...
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Modeling Gender Life Expectancy Ratio in a Multi-population Framework
This paper aims to assess whether the male-to-female ratio in life expectancy is driven by cross-national long-period common trends. If a common...
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Population Ageing Process and Depopulation Context in Western Balkans
The increasingly pronounced ageing process of the population is followed by a) a relatively low mortalityMortality in all age groups and a... -
Accuracy of Local Authority Population Forecasts Produced by a New Minimal Data Model: A Case Study of England
The preparation of forecasts for small and local area populations involves many challenges. Standard cohort-component models are problematic because...
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Demographic transition and population dynamics in **njiang, China
This study is based on census data, statistical yearbooks, and research materials related to the population in **njiang, providing a comprehensive...
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Smoothing, Decomposing and Forecasting Mortality Rates
The Lee–Carter (LC) model represents a landmark paper in mortality forecasting. While having been widely accepted and adopted, the model has some...
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Reframing policy responses to population aging in Iran
Iran is aging rapidly and is expected to see negative population growth rates later this century. This change is generating significant concern for...