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Bernoulli Semantics and Ordinal Semantics for Conditionals
Conditionals with conditional constituents pose challenges for the Thesis , the idea that the probability of a conditional is the corresponding...
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Conditionals, Causality and Conditional Probability
The appropriateness, or acceptability, of a conditional does not just ‘go with’ the corresponding conditional probability. A condition of dependence...
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Symmetry arguments against regular probability: A reply to recent objections
A probability distribution is regular if it does not assign probability zero to any possible event. While some hold that probabilities should always...
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Reichenbach’s Lecture “The Problem of Laws of Nature”
This is the first appearance in English translation (and the first appearance anywhere since a now-hard-to-find 1939 Turkish publication) of...
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Logic, Rationality, and Interaction 9th International Workshop, LORI 2023, **an, China, October 26–29, 2023, Proceedings
This LNCS book is part of the FOLLI book series and constitutes the proceedings of the 9th International Workshop on Logic, Rationality, and... -
Major Transitions as Groupoid Symmetry-Breaking in Nonergodic Prebiotic, Biological and Social Information Systems
We extend the comparatively simple processes of group symmetry-breaking in physical systems to groupoid/equivalence class phase transitions...
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The conceptual foundation of the propensity interpretation of fitness
The propensity interpretation of fitness (PIF) holds that evolutionary fitness is an objectively probabilistic causal disposition (i.e., a...
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Valueless Measures on Pointless Spaces
On our ordinary representations of space, space is composed of indivisible, dimensionless points; extended regions are understood as infinite sets of...
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Medical Explanation
Medical explanation may consist in hierarchical research, reduction, supervenience, inference to the best explanation. The degree of inductive... -
Altered States: Borel and the Probabilistic Approach to Reality
We examine in this article the singular way in which Émile Borel, from his studies on the structure of real numbers and a certain rejection of... -
Fortune
In this paper I argue that luck and fortune are distinct concepts that apply to different sets of events. I do so by suggesting that lucky events are...
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Present records of the Past Hypothesis
A striking feature of our world is that we only seem to have records of the past. To explain this ‘record asymmetry’, Albert and Loewer claim that...
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Connexive Logic, Probabilistic Default Reasoning, and Compound Conditionals
We present two approaches to investigate the validity of connexive principles and related formulas and properties within coherence-based probability...
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Recovering a Prior from a Posterior: Some Parameterizations of Jeffrey Conditioning
Given someone’s fully specified posterior probability distribution q and information about the revision method that they employed to produce q , what...
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Platonic Quantum Theory
In this essay, I describe a novel interpretation of quantum theory, called the Platonic interpretation or Platonic quantum theory. This new... -
Learning from experience and conditionalization
Bayesianism can be characterized as the following twofold position: (i) rational credences obey the probability calculus; (ii) rational learning,...
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How to Assess Coherent Beliefs: A Comparison of Different Notions of Coherence in Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence
Stemming from de Finetti’s work on finitely additive coherent probabilities, the paradigm of coherence has been applied to many uncertainty calculi... -
Economic Calculation of Value Is Not Measurement, Not Apriori, and Its Study Is Not Experimental
Mises’ account of Austrian subjectivism in economics is untenable. The “subjective” is actually objective (explored below in Chapters... -
Ultimate Design
Hypothesis (iv) ‘uncaused universe’ has been refuted in Chap. 6 . Moreover, it does not explain how it...