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Are the loans of state-owned banks politically motivated?
This paper investigates the relationship between annual disbursements of Brazil’s largest development bank, BNDES, and mayors political affiliation....
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Artificial intelligence and shapeshifting capitalism
Artificial intelligence (AI) is anticipated to reshape the economy by revolutionizing human interaction with technology. Despite its significance,...
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The life care annuity: enhancing product features and refining pricing methods
The state-of-the-art proposes life care annuities, that have been recently designed as variable annuity contracts with Long-Term Care payouts and...
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Cross-generational Smong narratives in Aceh’s tsunami resilience
Smong is an indigenous knowledge of the Simeuluean people related to tsunamis, which proved to be successful in saving lives during the 2004 Indian...
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Feudal political economy
How is order achieved in a realm in which every elite commands both economic and military resources, and no stable institutions of power exist? We...
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Probabilistic models of profiles for voting by evaluation
Considering voting rules based on evaluation inputs rather than preference rankings modifies the paradigm of probabilistic studies of voting...
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Partitionable choice functions and stability
We consider the two-sided many-to-one matching problem and introduce a class of preferences reflecting natural forms of complementarities. For...
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Calling “Gevald”: on the emergence of negative election forecasts in partisan communications
Individuals were found to anonymously predict positive election outcomes for their preferred candidate. Yet, there is little scientific knowledge...
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Blame and praise: responsibility attribution patterns in decision chains
How do people attribute responsibility when an outcome is not caused by an individual but results from a decision chain involving several people? We...
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Simulating the industrial revolution: a history-friendly model
In this paper, we present a first modelization of Allen’s argument on the British industrial revolution with a history-friendly model heuristic. To...
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Padding and pruning: gerrymandering under turnout heterogeneity
Padding is the practice of adding nonvoters (e.g., noncitizens or disenfranchised prisoners) to an electoral district in order to ensure that the...
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Persistence or decay of strategic asymmetric dominance in repeated dyadic games?
In a dyadic game, strategic asymmetric dominance occurs when a player’s preference for one strategy A relative to another B is systematically...
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Sophisticated reasoning, learning, and equilibrium in repeated games with imperfect feedback
We analyze the infinite repetition with imperfect feedback of a simultaneous or sequential game, assuming that players are strategically...
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Dynamically consistent menu preferences
We provide a unified analysis of dynamically consistent menu preferences in which an agent may exhibit a preference for flexibility, a preference for...
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Generalized welfare lower bounds and strategyproofness in sequencing problems
In an environment with private information, we study the class of sequencing problems with welfare lower bounds. The “generalized welfare lower...
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Systemic Financial Risk of Stock Market Based on Multiscale Networks
This paper investigates the connectedness among 36 financial institutions in China from time–frequency perspective. Specifically, using MEMD and...
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The power of news data in forecasting tail risk: evidence from China
This study investigates whether the inclusion of news information can help predict tail risk in the Chinese market. To quantify information from...
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Bias Correction in the Least-Squares Monte Carlo Algorithm
This paper addresses the issue of foresight bias in the Longstaff and Schwartz (Rev Financ Stud 14(1):113–147, 2001) algorithm for American option...
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Epidemiological modeling of Romanization and Christianization in Ancient Greece
The spread of culture has been often paralleled with epidemic contagion. We propose to use models of this type to analyze Romanization and...
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Bilateral trade with loss-averse agents
We introduce expectations-based loss aversion, which can explain the empirically well-documented endowment and attachment effect, into the classical...