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  1. Article

    Open Access

    A semi-parametric claims reserving model with monotone splines

    Stochastic reserving models used in the insurance industry are usually based on an assumed distribution of claim amounts. Despite their popularity, such models may unavoidably be affected by the misspecificati...

    Le Chang, Guangyuan Gao, Yanlin Shi in Annals of Operations Research (2024)

  2. No Access

    Article

    A simulation study on the Markov regime-switching zero-drift GARCH model

    A Zero-drift GARCH (ZD-GARCH) model is recently proposed to study conditional and unconditional heteroskedasticity together. Despite its attractive statistical properties, our research demonstrates that the st...

    Yanlin Shi in Annals of Operations Research (2023)

  3. No Access

    Article

    Robustness and spurious long memory: evidence from the generalized autoregressive score models

    This paper employs the generalized autoregressive score (GAS) models to study the long memory and regime switching in the second comment. Via systematically constructed simulation studies, we firstly demonstra...

    Guangyuan Gao, Yanlin Shi in Annals of Operations Research (2023)

  4. No Access

    Article

    Long memory and regime switching in the stochastic volatility modelling

    This paper studies the confusion between the long memory and regime switching in the second moment via the stochastic volatility (SV) methodology. An illustrative proposition is firstly presented with simulati...

    Yanlin Shi in Annals of Operations Research (2023)

  5. Article

    Open Access

    A discussion on the robust vector autoregressive models: novel evidence from safe haven assets

    The vector autoregressive (VAR) model has been popularly employed in operational practice to study multivariate time series. Despite its usefulness in providing associated metrics such as the impulse response ...

    Le Chang, Yanlin Shi in Annals of Operations Research (2022)