Abstract
At present, the global climate continues to warm. The Arctic ship** routes have become a reality. The opening of the Arctic route will greatly reduce the sea distance between Asia-Europe and Asia-America. It will effectively reduce the ship** cost and achieve the goal of mutually promoting regional economic development. The routes have quite high economic benefit value for all users. Take Dalian port to Rotterdam port for example. Calculate route costs and benefits. Collect relevant data through the SP survey. The discrete selection model—the Logit model is established. The transport sharing rate between the Arctic route and the traditional route is obtained. The Monte Carlo method was used to simulate the data, and the decision probability was obtained, and the error analysis was carried out with the Logit model results. It is believed that Arctic routes will increase their share of the freight market.
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Acknowledgements
This research was supported in Liaoning Provincial Nature Fund (2019-ZD-0661), Project of Liaoning Province Social Science Circle (2020lslktqn-058).
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Guan, F., Cao, Y., Peng, X., Wang, Y. (2021). Simulation Research of Arctic Route and Traditional Route Based on the Logit Model. In: Li, Y., Zhu, Q., Qiao, F., Fan, Z., Chen, Y. (eds) Advances in Simulation and Process Modelling. ISSPM 2020. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 1305. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-33-4575-1_23
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-33-4575-1_23
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