Abstract
In recent years, a number of studies on the long-term prospects of the world’s food and agricultural situation have been made.1 In spite of differences in methodology, data base and country coverage, it is interesting to compare some of these studies in terms of their main results, which may perhaps be described as ‘conditional forecasts’. Three such studies will be briefly reviewed here, viz. the FAO (1981) study, Agriculture: Toward 2000, The Global 2000 Report to the President prepared by the Council on Environmental Quality and the Department of State of the US (1980), and the analysis of Linnemann et al. (1979) in MOIRA: Model of International Relations in Agriculture. Of Global 2000, only the food and agriculture model is discussed. The three analyses have in common that they are agricultural sector studies only, even though MOIRA formally has one non-agricultural sector as well. Also, in all studies growth of population and of GDP (in MOIRA non-agricultural GDP) is given exogenously.
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References
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© 1987 International Economic Association
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Linnemann, H. (1987). World Food Prospects till 2000. In: Borner, S., Taylor, A. (eds) Structural Change, Economic Interdependence and World Development. International Economic Association Series. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-09117-1_7
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-09117-1_7
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