Abstract
The spectral composition of temporal variations in the Northern Hemisphere mean surface air temperature is estimated and compared in 2000-year paleoclimatic reconstructions. Continuous wavelet transforms of these reconstructions are used for the stable estimation of energy spectra. It is found that low-frequency parts of the spectra (the periods of temperature variations of more than 100 years) based on such high-resolution paleoclimatic indicators as tree rings, corals, etc., are similar to the spectrum of white noise, that is never observed in nature. This seems unrealistic. The famous reconstruction called “Hockey Stick” is among such unrealistic reconstructions. Reconstructions based not only on high-resolution but also on low-resolution indicators seem to be more realistic, since the low-frequency parts of their spectra have the pattern of red noise. They include the “Boomerang” reconstruction showing that some warm periods close to the present-day one were observed in the past.
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Translated from Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya, 2021, No. 10, pp. 5-13. https://doi.org/10.52002/0130-2906-2021-10-5-13.
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Datsenko, N.M., Sonechkin, D.M., Yang, B. et al. Comparative Analysis of Spectra of the 2000-year Reconstructions of Average Surface Air Temperature in the Northern Hemisphere. Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol. 46, 651–657 (2021). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373921100010
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373921100010