Log in

Assessment of Fire Hazard and Its Dynamics in Forest Areas of Siberia

  • Published:
Contemporary Problems of Ecology Aims and scope

Abstract

The existing methods for the assessment of fire hazard are analyzed. For the forest regions of Siberia, which are known for the highest indicators of fire hazard, data has been assembled on the degree of natural and weather-dependent fire hazard, as well as the hazard from a source of ignition. It is proposed to assess the natural fire hazard with allowance for the geographical-zonal and general inflammability features of the forest-site types and the forest regions of Siberia. The need to take into account the dynamics of fire hazard has been noted, especially after fire-hazard seasons characterized by an extreme degree of flammability. In remote areas, it is proposed to assess the dynamics of the natural fire hazard of territories based on the predicted state of forest ecosystems after the impact of fires. The proposed method has been tested on the territory of the Nizhneangarsk forest region, and a high reliability was found for the assessment of the postfire state of forest stands (in 87% of cases). The natural fire-hazard dynamics in the Kodinsky and Gremuchinsky forest districts of the Krasnoyarsk Territory have been analyzed based on the prediction of the forest-fire aftermath. The study has also revealed significantly increased areas of forest lands characterized by the first class of natural fire hazard after the impact of several large fires in 1996 and 2006 and an increase in fire-hazard class in some of the forestry units and on the territory of the Gremuchinsky forest district as a whole.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
EUR 32.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or Ebook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Price includes VAT (Canada)

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1.
Fig. 2.
Fig. 3.
Fig. 4.

Similar content being viewed by others

REFERENCES

  1. Anuchin, N.P., Lesnaya taksatsiya (Forest Taxation), Moscow: Lesnaya Prom-st’, 1982, 5th ed.

  2. Bartalev, S.A., Stytsenko, F.V., Egorov, V.A., and Lupyan, E.A., Satellite-based assessment of Russian forest fire mortality, Lesovedenie, 2015, no. 2, pp. 83–94.

  3. Buryak, L.V., Forest forming process of light coniferous forests disturbed by fire in southern Siberia, Extended Abstract of Doctoral (Agric.) Dissertation, Krasnoyarsk: Krasnoyarsk State Technol. Univ., 2015.

  4. Buryak, L.V., Ivanov, V.A., and Ponomarev, E.I., Forest fire zoning of the territory of Krasnoyarsk krai, in Lesnye pozhary i izmenenie klimata, Problemy upravleniya pozharami v prirodnykh i kul’turnykh landshaftakh Evrazii (Forest Fires and Climate Change. Fire Management in Natural and Cultural Landscapes of Eurasia), Novosibirsk, 2013, p. 62.

    Google Scholar 

  5. Flannigan, M.D., Krawchuk, M.A., de Groot, W.J., Wotton, B.M., and Gowman, L.M., Implications of changing climate for global wildland fire, Int. J. Wildl. Fire, 2009, vol. 18, pp. 483–507.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Goldammer, J.G., Stocks, B.J., Sukhinin, A.I., and Ponomarev, E., Current fire regimes, impacts and the likely changes—II: Forest fires in Russia—Past and current trends, in Vegetation Fires and Global Change: Challenges for Concerted International Action: A White Paper Directed to the United Nations and International Organizations, Remagen-Oberwinter: Kessel, 2013, pp. 51–76.

  7. Groisman, P.Y., Sherstyukov, B.G., Razuvaev, V.N., Knight, R.W., Enloe, J.G., Stroumentova, N.S., Whitfield, P.H., Førland, E., Hannsen-Bauer, I., Tuomenvirta, H., Aleksandersson, H., Mescherskaya, A.V., and Karl, T.R., Potential forest fire danger over Northern Eurasia—changes during the 20th century, Global Planet. Change, 2007, vol. 56, pp. 371–386.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Groisman, P., Shugart, H., Kicklighter, D., Henebry, G., Tchebakova, N., Maksyutov, S., Monier, E., Gutman, G., Gulev, S., Qi, J., Prishchepov, A., Kukavskaya, E., Porfiriev, B., Shiklomanov, A., Loboda, T., et al., Northern Eurasia Future Initiative (NEFI): facing the challenges and pathways of global change in the twenty-first century, Prog. Earth Planet. Sci., 2017, vol. 4, pp. 1–48. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-017-0154-5

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. IPCC, 2013: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Stocker, T.F., Qin, D., Plattner, G.-K., Tignor, M., Allen, S.K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., **a, Y., Bex, V., and Midgley, P.M., Eds., Cambridge: Cambridge Univ. Press, 2013.

    Google Scholar 

  10. Ivanov, V.A. and Ivanova, G.A., Pozhary ot groz v lesakh Sibiri (Fires from Thunderstorms in the Forests of Siberia), Novosibirsk: Nauka, 2010.

  11. Jolly, W.M., Cochrane, M.A., Freeborn, P.H., Holden, Z.A., Brown, T.J., Williamson, G.J., and Bowman, D.M.J.S., Climate-induced variations in global wildfire danger from 1979 to 2013, Nat. Commun., 2015, vol. 6, art. ID 7537. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms8537

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  12. Kharuk, V.I., Dvinskaya, M.L., and Ranson, K.J. Fire return intervals within the northern boundary of the larch forest in Central Siberia, Int. J. Wildl. Fire, 2013, vol. 22, no. 2, pp. 207–211. https://doi.org/10.1071/WF11181

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Kogan, R.M. and Glagolev, V.A., Intensity dynamics of fire seasons in Khabarovsk krai and Jewish autonomous region, Reg. Probl., 2016, vol. 19, no. 4, pp. 75–83.

    Google Scholar 

  14. Kovalev, N.A., The efficiency of Avialesokhrana in advanced technologies, in Pozhary v lesnykh ekosistemakh Sibiri (Fires in Forest Ecosystems of Siberia), Krasnoyarsk: Inst. Lesa, Sib. Otd., Ross. Akad. Nauk, 2008, p. 245.

  15. Kukavskaya, E.A., Soja, A.J., Petkov, A.P., Ponomarev, E.I., Ivanova, G.A., and Conard, S.G., Fire emissions estimates in Siberia: Evaluation of uncertainties in area burned, land cover, and fuel consumption, Can. J. For. Res., 2013, vol. 43, no. 5, pp. 493–506. https://doi.org/10.1139/cjfr-2012-0367

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  16. Kukavskaya, E.A., Buryak, L.V., Shvetsov, E.G., Conard, S.G., and Kalenskaya, O.P., The impact of increasing fire frequency on forest transformations in southern Siberia, For. Ecol. Manage., 2016, vol. 382, pp. 225–235. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2016.10.015

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Lupyan, E.A., Bartalev, S.A., Balashov, I.V., Egorov, V.A., Ershov, D.V., Kobets, D.A., Sen’ko, K.S., Stytsenko, F.V., and Sychugov, I.G., Satellite monitoring of forest fires in the 21st century in Russian Federation (facts and figures based on active fire detection), Sovrem. Probl. Distantsionnogo Zondirovaniya Zemli Kosm., 2017, vol. 14, no. 6, pp. 158–175. https://doi.org/10.21046/2070-7401-2017-14-6-158-175

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Matveev, P.M., Posledstviya pozharov v listvennichnykh biogeotsenozakh na mnogoletnei merzlote (Consequences of Fires in Larch Biogeocenoses in Permafrost Zones), Krasnoyarsk: Sib. Gos. Tekhnol. Univ., 2006.

  19. Melekhov, I.S., Priroda lesa i lesnye pozhary (Forest Nature and Forest Fires), Arkhangelsk: OGIZ, 1947.

  20. Order of Rosleskhoz no. 287 of July 5, 2011 “On approval of classification of natural fire danger in forests and classification of fire danger in forests depending on weather conditions”. http://docs.cntd.ru/document/902289183. Cited September 21, 2018.

  21. Plotnikova, A.S. and Ershov, D.V., The method to update maps of forest natural fire danger using satellite thematic products, Sovrem. Probl. Distantsionnogo Zondirovaniya Zemli Kosm., 2015, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 181–189.

  22. Ponomarev, E.I. and Kharuk, V.I., Wildfire occurrence in forests of the Altai–Sayan region under current climate changes, Contemp. Probl. Ecol., 2016, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 29–36.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Shvidenko, A.Z. and Shchepashchenko, D.G., Climate change and wildfires in Russia, Contemp. Probl. Ecol., 2013, vol. 6, no. 7, pp. 683–692.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Shutov, I.V. and Ryabinin, B.N., Forest policy in conditions of climate change, Lesn. Khoz., 2009, no. 2, pp. 4–9.

  25. Skudin, V.M., Sukhinin, A.I., Buryak, L.V., Kalenskaya, O.P., and Ponomarev, E.I., Forecast of the consequences of fires in forest ecosystems of the Lower Angara region based on a multivariate GIS analysis, Lesn. Khoz., 2010, no. 1, pp. 36–38.

  26. Slinkina, O.A., Sukhinin, A.I., and Buryak, L.V., Present forest map** of south and central taiga zones of Krasnoyarsk krai using remote sensing data, Vestn. Sib. Gos. Agrar. Univ. im. M.F. Reshetneva, 2008, no. 1 (18), pp. 70–74.

  27. Sofronov, M.A., Connection between pyrological characteristics and estimates as a basis for fire management in boreal forests, Extended Abstract of Doctoral (Agric.) Dissertation, Krasnoyarsk: Sukachev Inst. Forest, Sib. Branch, Russ. Acad. Sci., 1998.

  28. Sofronov, M.A. and Volokitina, A.V., Pyrological characteristics of forest ecosystems along transect, in Lesnye ekosistemy Eniseiskogo meridiana (Forest Ecosystems of the Yenisei Meridian), Novosibirsk: Sib. Otd., Ross. Akad. Nauk, 2002, pp. 109–117.

  29. Sukachev, V.N. and Zonn, S.V., Metodicheskie ukazaniya k izucheniyu tipov lesa (Guidelines for Study of the Forest Types), Moscow: Akad. Nauk SSSR, 1961.

  30. Valendik, E.N., Fire management in forests, in Regional’nye problemy ekosistemnogo lesovodstva (Regional problems of ecosystem forestry), Krasnoyarsk: Sib. Otd., Ross. Akad. Nauk, 2007, pp. 223–224.

  31. Valendik, E.N. and Ivanova, G.A., Extreme fire seasons in the boreal forests of Central Siberia, Lesovedenie, 1996, no. 4, pp. 12–19.

  32. Vivchar, A., Wildfires in Russia in 2000–2008: estimates of burnt areas using the satellite MODIS MCD45 data, Remote Sens. Lett., 2011, vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 81–90.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Vonskii, S.M., Zhdanko, V.A., Korbut, V.I., Semenov, S.M., Tetyusheva, L.V., and Zagorodnyaya, L.S., Opredelenie prirodnoi pozharnoi opasnosti v lesu: Metodicheskie rekomendatsii (Determination of Natural Fire Hazard in the Forest: Methodical Recommendations), Leningrad: Leningr. Nauchno-Issled. Inst. Lesn. Khoz., 1981.

Download references

Funding

The study was performed with the partial financial support of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (project no. 15-04-06567).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to L. V. Buryak.

Ethics declarations

The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest. This article does not contain any studies involving animals or human participants performed by any of the authors.

Additional information

Translated by L. Solovyova

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Buryak, L.V., Kukavskaya, E.A., Ivanov, V.A. et al. Assessment of Fire Hazard and Its Dynamics in Forest Areas of Siberia. Contemp. Probl. Ecol. 14, 803–814 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1995425521070040

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1995425521070040

Keywords:

Navigation