Abstract
A group of 70 patients who had attended the Keratoconus Clinic at Moorfields Eye Hospital over a 10-year period were analysed retrospectively. At the end of this period 23 eyes had undergone corneal transplantation.
This gave an overall probability of 16%, various information obtained at the initial visit was then analysed for a possible relationship with the probablity of needing a transplant within ten years.
The only significant relationship found was the initial corneal radius as determined by the back optic radius of the first contact lens. A graph was constructed plotting probability of corneal transplant against each radius at the first visit, which could assist clinicians in advising patients.
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O'Hagan A, Woodward EG, Moodaley LC : Practical Bayesian analysis of a simple logistic regression— predicting corneal transplants. Warwick Statistics Research Report 163, Department of Statistics, University of Warwick 1989. (Submitted to Statistics in Medicine.)
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Woodward, E., Moodaley, L. & O'Hagan, A. Predictors for likelihood of corneal transplantation in keratoconus. Eye 4, 493–496 (1990). https://doi.org/10.1038/eye.1990.64
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/eye.1990.64
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