Abstract
Megacities serve as global centers for economic, cultural, and high-tech industries. The structural features and population agglomerations are typical traits of urbanization, yet little is known about the morphological features and expansion patterns of megacities worldwide. Here we examined the spatiotemporal variations of urban land in megalopolises from 2000 to 2020 using the Urban Expansion Intensity Differentiation Index. The fractal features and expansion patterns of megacities were analyzed using the Area-Radius Multidimensional Scaling Model. Urban land use efficiency was then evaluated based on the linear relationship between urban land area and population. We found that Southeast Asia and China were the hotspots of urban expansion in megacities from 2000 to 2020, with urban land areas expanding by 3148.32 km2 and 5996.26 km2, respectively. The morphological features and expansion patterns of megacities exhibited a growing trend towards intensification and compactness, with the average radial dimension increasing from 1.54 to 1.56. The annual decrease in fractal dimensions indicated the integration of inner urban areas. North America and Europe megacities showed a low urban land use efficiency, with a ratio of urban land area to population ranging from 0.89 to 4.11 in 2020. Conversely, South Asia and Africa megacities exhibited a high urban land use efficiency, with the ratios between 0.23 and 0.87. Our results provide information for promoting efficient urban land utilization and sustainable cities. It is proposed to control the scale of urban expansion and to promote balanced development between inner and outer urban areas for achieving resilient and sustainable urban development.
References
Adhikari P, de Beurs K M, 2017. Growth in urban extent and allometric analysis of West African cities. Journal of Land Use Science, 12(2/3): 105–124.
Alam M J, 2014. “The organized encroachment of land developers”: Effects on urban flood management in Greater Dhaka, Bangladesh. Sustainable Cities and Society, 10: 49–58.
Angel S, 2016. Atlas of Urban Expansion. 2016 Edition. Volume 1: Areas and Densities. http://www.atlasofurbanexpansion.org.
Angel S, Parent J, Civco D L et al., 2011. The dimensions of global urban expansion: Estimates and projections for all countries, 2000–2050. Progress in Planning, 75(2): 53–107.
Benguigui L, Czamanski D, 2004. Simulation analysis of the fractality of cities. Geographical Analysis, 36(1): 69–84.
Bosch M, Jaligot R, Chenal J, 2020. Spatiotemporal patterns of urbanization in three Swiss urban agglomerations: Insights from landscape metrics, growth modes and fractal analysis. Landscape Ecology, 35(4): 879–891.
Chang Y S, Lee Y J, Choi S S B, 2017. Is there more traffic congestion in larger cities? Scaling analysis of the 101 largest US urban centers. Transport Policy, 59: 54–63.
Chen Y G, 2020. Fractal modeling and fractal dimension description of urban morphology. Entropy, 22(9): 961.
Chen Y G, Wang J J, Feng J, 2017. Understanding the fractal dimensions of urban forms through spatial entropy. Entropy, 19(11): 600.
Chen Y G, Wang Y H, Li X J, 2019. Fractal dimensions derived from spatial allometric scaling of urban form. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 126: 122–134.
Chi W F, Shi W J, Kuang W H, 2015. Spatio-temporal characteristics of intra-urban land cover in the cities of China and USA from 1978 to 2010. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 25(1): 3–18.
Djehdian L A, Chini C M, Marston L et al., 2019. Exposure of urban food-energy-water (FEW) systems to water scarcity. Sustainable Cities and Society, 50: 101621.
Dong T, Jiao L M, Xu G et al., 2019. Towards sustainability? Analyzing changing urban form patterns in the United States, Europe, and China. Science of the Total Environment, 671: 632–643.
Dong Y L, Ren Z B, Fu Y et al., 2022. Decrease in the residents’ accessibility of summer cooling services due to green space loss in Chinese cities. Environment International, 158: 107002.
Dutta D, Rahman A, Paul S K et al., 2021. Impervious surface growth and its inter-relationship with vegetation cover and land surface temperature in peri-urban areas of Delhi. Urban Climate, 37: 100799.
Encarnaçâo S, Gaudiano M, Santos F C et al., 2012. Fractal cartography of urban areas. Scientific Reports, 2(1): 527.
Estoque R C, Murayama Y, 2015. Intensity and spatial pattern of urban land changes in the megacities of Southeast Asia. Land Use Policy, 48: 213–222.
Frankhauser P, 1998. The fractal approach: A new tool for the spatial analysis of urban agglomerations. Population, 10: 205–240.
Frankhauser P, Tannier C, Vuidel G et al., 2018. An integrated multifractal modelling to urban and regional planning. Computers Environment and Urban Systems, 67: 132–146.
Gao J, O’Neill B C, 2020. Map** global urban land for the 21st century with data-driven simulations and shared socioeconomic pathways. Nature Communications, 11(1): 2302.
Georg I, Blaschke T, Taubenböck H, 2016. New spatial dimensions of global cityscapes: From reviewing existing concepts to a conceptual spatial approach. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 26(3): 355–380.
Guan X L, Fang C L, Zhou M et al., 2012. Spatial and temporal characteristics of spatial expansion of urban land in Wuhan urban agglomeration. Journal of Natural Resources, 27(9): 1447–1459. (in Chinese)
Hai K, Wang S Y, Ma Y X et al., 2018. Urban expansion and form changes along the Belt and Road Initiative. Acta Geographica Sinica, 75(10): 2092–2108. (in Chinese)
Hamidi S, Ewing R, Preuss I et al., 2015. Measuring sprawl and its impacts: An update. Journal of Planning Education and Research, 35(1): 35–50.
Jevric M, Romanovich M, 2016. Fractal dimensions of urban border as a criterion for space management. In: 15th International Scientific Conference Underground Urbanisation as a Prerequisite for Sustainable Development, 165: 1478–1482.
Lagarias A, Prastacos P, 2020. Comparing the urban form of South European cities using fractal dimensions. Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science, 47(7): 1149–1166.
Li X C, Zhou Y Y, Hejazi M et al., 2021. Global urban growth between 1870 and 2100 from integrated high resolution mapped data and urban dynamic modeling. Communications Earth & Environment, 2(1): 201.
Liang L, Gong P, 2020. Urban and air pollution: A multi-city study of long-term effects of urban landscape patterns on air quality trends. Scientific Reports, 10(1): 18618.
Liu X P, Huang Y H, Xu X C et al., 2020. High-spatiotemporal-resolution map** of global urban change from 1985 to 2015. Nature Sustainability, 3(7): 564–570.
Lin X Q, Wang Y, Wang S J et al., 2015. Spatial differences and driving forces of land urbanization in China. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 25(5): 545–558.
Mahtta R, Mahendra A, Seto K C, 2019. Building up or spreading out? Typologies of urban growth across 478 cities of 1 million+. Environmental Research Letters, 14(12): 124077.
Mandal J, Ghosh N, Mukhopadhyay A, 2019. Urban growth dynamics and changing land-use land-cover of megacity Kolkata and its environs. Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing, 47(10): 1707–1725.
Ou J P, Liu X P, Li X et al., 2016. Quantifying spatiotemporal dynamics of urban growth modes in metropolitan cities of China: Bei**g, Shanghai, Tian**, and Guangzhou. Journal of Urban Planning and Development, 143(1): 04016023.
Ouyang X, Zhu X, 2020. Spatio-temporal characteristics of urban land expansion in Chinese urban agglomerations. Acta Geographica Sinica, 75(3): 571–588. (in Chinese)
Seto K C, Fragkias M, Güneralp B et al., 2011. A meta-analysis of global urban land expansion. Plos One, 6(8): e23777.
Song C Q, Cheng C X, Shi P J et al., 2018. Geography complexity: New connotations of geography in the new era. Acta Geographica Sinica, 73(7): 1204–1213. (in Chinese)
Stokes E C, Seto K C, 2019. Characterizing and measuring urban landscapes for sustainability. Environmental Research Letters, 14(4): 045002.
Tannier C, Thomas I, Vuidel G et al., 2011. A fractal approach to identifying urban boundaries. Geographical Analysis, 43(2): 211–227.
United Nations (UN), 2018. World Urbanization Prospects: The 2018 Revision. https://www.un.org/development/desa/publications/2018-revision-of-world-urbanization-prospects.html.
United Nations (UN), 2021. Sustainable Development Goals Metadata Repository-SDG Indicator Metadata: Format Version 1.0. https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/metadata/files/Metadata-11-03-01.pdf.
van der Ploeg F, Poelhekke S, 2008. Globalization and the rise of mega-cities in the develo** world. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 1(3): 477–501.
Vogler J B, Vukomanovic J, 2021. Trends in United States human footprint revealed by new spatial metrics of urbanization and per capita land change. Sustainability, 13(22): 12852.
Wang J, Chen Y, Liao W L et al., 2021. Anthropogenic emissions and urbanization increase risk of compound hot extremes in cities. Nature Climate Change, 11(12): 1084–1089.
Wang Q A, Shi J C, Liu Q H et al., 2020. Global ecosystems and environment observation analysis report cooperation: Global Urban Land Composite and Expansion in 2000–2020. (in Chinese)
White R, Engelen G, 1993. Cellular automata and fractal urban form: A cellular modelling approach to the evolution of urban land-use patterns. Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space, 25(8): 1175–1199.
Worldpop, 2020. Open Spatial Demographic Data and Research. https://www.worldpop.org/.
Xu G, Dong T, Cobbinah P B et al., 2019. Urban expansion and form changes across African cities with a global outlook: Spatiotemporal analysis of urban land densities. Journal of Cleaner Production, 224: 802–810.
Zhang F, Chen Y G, Li X S, 2019. Radial dimension analysis of growth and form of cities in the Bei**g-Tian**-Hebei region. Progress in Geography, 38(1): 65–76. (in Chinese)
Zhang Y, Wang H Y, **e P et al., 2020. Revisiting spatiotemporal changes in global urban expansion during 1995 to 2015. Complexity, 2020: 6139158.
Zheng Q M, Weng Q H, Wang K, 2021. Characterizing urban land changes of 30 global megacities using nighttime light time series stacks. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, 173: 10–23.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Foundation: The Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences, No.XDA20040403, No.XDA23100201
Author: Hou Yali (1995–), Master Candidate, specialized in remote sensing of urban. E-mail: houyl.19s@igsnrr.ac.cn
This paper is initially published in Acta Geographica Sinica (Chinese edition), 2022, 77(11): 2687–2702.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Hou, Y., Kuang, W. & Dou, Y. Observing the compact trend of urban expansion patterns in global 33 megacities during 2000–2020. J. Geogr. Sci. 33, 2359–2376 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-023-2180-0
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-023-2180-0