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The nexus of sectoral-based CO2 emissions and fiscal policy instruments in the light of Belt and Road Initiative

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Abstract

Climate change due to global warming is becoming a major global issue over the past few decades. The emission of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gasses cause global warming. Most carbon emissions come from energy sectors, whereas transportation, industrial, and residential sectors are among the chief contributors. The present study investigates the effect of fiscal policy instruments, economic development, and foreign direct investment (FDI) on the sectoral emissions in Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries. The data used in this study is taken from the World Development Indicators (WDI) for the period between 2000 and 2018. Dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) and fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) have been used to analyze the long-run impact of fiscal policy instruments, economic development, and FDI on CO2 emissions from transportation, energy, and industrial sectors. Furthermore, the pairwise Dumitrescu and Hurlin panel causality test was used to authorize the causal relationship among the variables under consideration. The results reveal that fiscal policy instruments, per capita gross domestic product, FDI, and CO2 emissions show a strong correlation in the industrial, electrical, and transportation sectors. Furthermore, it is shown that public spending is a more reliable tool to reduce CO2 emissions in the transportation and industrial sectors in the BRI region. This study provides useful information for policy-makers on taking preventive and corrective measures to reduce CO2 emissions in different sectors and promote sustainable development.

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Availability of data and materials

The datasets used and analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Funding

The Shanxi Scholarship Council of China supports this research project.

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Contributions

This idea was given by Muhammad Waqas Akbar and Peng Yuelan. Adnan Maqbool has collected the datasets, while Muhammad Waqas Akbar and Zeenat Zia have conducted the data analysis and wrote the complete paper. Lastly, Adnan Maqbool and Muhammad Saeed read and approved the final version.

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Correspondence to Muhammad Waqas Akbar.

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We confirmed that this manuscript has not been published elsewhere and is not under consideration by another journal. Ethical approval and informed consent do not apply to this study.

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The authors declare no competing interests

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Responsible Editor: Ilhan Ozturk

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Akbar, M.W., Yuelan, P., Maqbool, A. et al. The nexus of sectoral-based CO2 emissions and fiscal policy instruments in the light of Belt and Road Initiative. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28, 32493–32507 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-13040-3

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-13040-3

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