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Displacements Before and After Great Earthquakes: Geodetic and Seismic Viewpoints

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Abstract

Analysis of geodetic data obtained by the global positioning system (GPS) leads to better understanding of earthquake origins and helps to interpret their sequences. For this, we cross-compare the pre- and postseismic displacements associated with great earthquakes and derived from GPS observations and seismic catalogs. In a pilot study of the 2004 Sumatra–Andaman Mw9.2 earthquake in the Indian Ocean, the 2011 Tohoku Mw9.1 earthquake in Japan, the 2010 offshore Maule Mw8.8 and the 2015 Illapel Mw8.3 earthquakes in Chile, the 2018 Kodiak Mw7.9 earthquake in the Gulf of Alaska, and the 2016 Kaikoura Mw7.8 earthquake in New Zealand, we consider GPS data from stations of the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) along with integral characteristics of the regional seismic regime, including the accumulated displacement derived from the catalogs of earthquake hypocenter parameters. We did not find any prominent transient pattern in the daily geodetic measurements registered before the six great earthquakes at the nearest GNSS stations. We found that (a) the six cases exhibit different GPS versus seismic displacement correlation patterns before and after the great earthquakes, (b) the observed high variability of the correlation between geodetic ρ(t) and seismic ∑(t) integrals appears indicative of a partial contribution of earthquakes to naturally haphazard sporadic movement of lithospheric blocks of different size, and (c) GPS data confirm the existence of intermittent long periods of regionally stable levels of seismic regime reflected in the control parameter of the Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes that may change as a result of mid- or even short-term bursts of activity associated with catastrophic events.

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Acknowledgements

The study is supported by the Russia Foundation for Basic Research (RFBR) Project no. 19-35-50059 “Study of pre- and post-seismic displacements in the areas of the strongest earthquakes in the world.”

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  1. Institute of Earthquake Forecasting, China Earthquake Administration, Be**g, China

    Tai Liu

  2. Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russia Academy of Science, Moscow, Russian Federation

    Vladimir G. Kossobokov

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Correspondence to Vladimir G. Kossobokov.

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Liu, T., Kossobokov, V.G. Displacements Before and After Great Earthquakes: Geodetic and Seismic Viewpoints. Pure Appl. Geophys. 178, 1135–1155 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-021-02694-2

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